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Microvast Holdings, Inc. (MVST)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered record Q2 revenue of $91.3M (+9.2% Y/Y) and 34.7% gross margin, with positive adjusted EBITDA of $25.9M; however, GAAP net loss was $106.1M driven by a $121.5M non‑cash fair value charge on the convertible loan and warrants .
- Versus consensus, revenue missed ($91.3M vs $107.7M*), while adjusted EPS beat ($0.05 vs $0.02*) as operating execution and cost control supported profitability on an adjusted basis .
- Guidance: Revenue outlook maintained at $450–$475M; full‑year gross margin target raised from 30% to 32%—a constructive signal on mix/efficiency despite regional timing headwinds .
- Key narrative drivers: EMEA program launches were pushed into later quarters (weighing on Q2 top line), US mix improving (rev share 5%), capacity expansion (Huzhou Phase 3.2) on track to complete installation by year‑end with initial production to follow—setting up 2026 capacity .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Sustained margin and adjusted profitability: gross margin expanded Y/Y to 34.7% and adjusted EBITDA reached $25.9M; management highlighted “a record second quarter” with “adjusted EBITDA of $25.9 million” .
- OpEx discipline: Operating expenses fell to $16.5M from $126.7M in Q2’24 (prior year included impairments); adjusted OpEx was $15.7M vs $116.0M in Q2’24 .
- Technology milestones: multi‑layer all‑solid‑state battery progress (functional 12‑layer 48V monolithic stack; >99.89% coulombic efficiency in 5‑layer cell), positioning for robotics/AI/aerospace applications .
- Quote: “We delivered a record second quarter… This growth is matched with gross margin expansion to 34.7%… and a positive adjusted EBITDA of $25.9 million” — Yang Wu, CEO .
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What Went Wrong
- Top‑line timing/miss: EMEA revenue timing (customer platform launches pushed into later quarters) pressured Q2 revenue versus expectations, contributing to a revenue miss vs consensus .
- GAAP optics: GAAP net loss of $106.1M driven by $121.5M non‑cash fair value changes in warrants/convertible loan, masking underlying adjusted profitability .
- Backlog moderation: reported backlog declined to ~$320M vs $351M in Q1’25 and $401.3M at FY’24, a watch item for near‑term visibility .
Financial Results
- Income statement trend (oldest → newest)
- Q2 vs Wall Street estimates
Values with asterisk are from S&P Global consensus. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Regional revenue mix (Q2)
- KPIs and cash/liquidity (older → newer)
Context on GAAP vs non‑GAAP: The $106.1M GAAP net loss in Q2 was primarily driven by $121.5M of non‑cash fair value changes in warrants/convertible loan; adjusting for this and SBC, adjusted net profit was $16.3M and adjusted EBITDA was $25.9M .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic focus: “Our primary engine for growth is a relentless commitment to technology and product development… We intend to achieve significant sustainable growth and optimize our operations with the ultimate goal of attaining sustained profitability.” — Yang Wu .
- Capacity: “Phase 3.2 expansion… anticipated to add about two gigawatt‑hour of annual production capacity… we anticipated the first qualified production from this new line to commence in 2025.” — Yang Wu .
- Financial lens: “After adjusting for… share‑based compensation… and fair value changes… we achieved an adjusted net profit of $16.3 million… Positive adjusted EBITDA… $25.9 million.” — Rodney Worthen .
Q&A Highlights
- No Q&A session was conducted on this call; the operator concluded immediately following prepared remarks .
- Management reiterated FY25 revenue guidance and raised the full‑year gross margin target to 32% while noting EMEA customer launch timing and ongoing execution on Phase 3.2 capacity ramp .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 consensus (S&P Global): Revenue $107.7M*, EPS $0.02* on limited coverage (2 rev, 1 EPS estimate). Actuals: Revenue $91.3M (miss), adjusted EPS $0.05 (beat) .
- Implications: Revenue revision risk near term (EMEA timing), but margin target raise to 32% and sustained adjusted EBITDA suggest estimate dispersion may widen on mix/efficiency assumptions .
Values with asterisk are from S&P Global consensus. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mixed print: adjusted profitability and margin resilience versus a top‑line shortfall tied to EMEA timing; narrative likely to hinge on backlog conversion cadence into H2 .
- Quality of guide improved: revenue maintained; gross margin target raised to 32%, supporting a better quality of earnings profile despite near‑term revenue variability .
- Watch backlog trajectory: sequential moderation ($401M → $351M → $320M) warrants monitoring for booking pace and conversion amid delayed platform launches .
- Non‑GAAP vs GAAP optics: large non‑cash fair value charge ($121.5M) drove GAAP loss; underlying operations generated $16.2M operating profit and $25.9M adjusted EBITDA .
- Capacity adds as 2026 call option: Phase 3.2 installation completion by year‑end with initial production thereafter underpins medium‑term volume upside if demand holds .
- Regional pivot: continued US share gains (to ~5%) and APAC strength (+34% Y/Y) partially offset EMEA timing; diversification helps margin mix .
- Near‑term trading setup: EPS beat vs revenue miss and raised GM target create a “quality over quantity” narrative; stock likely sensitive to H2 EMEA ramps and any additional order wins or backlog rebuild .
Citations:
- Q2 2025 8‑K, press release, slides: .
- Q2 2025 earnings call transcript: .
- Q1 2025 8‑K/PR/call: .
- Q4 2024 PR/call: .
- CIBF 2025 product PR: .